How Much Stock Do You Put into Extended Forecasts?

[karstopography]

[mention]JRinPA[/mention] thank you for the heads up. Trend for my area favorable for warmer than long term averages for February. Encouraged.

[Paulf]

With satellites and computers and history all combined the two to three week forecasts in our area are very good both winter and summer. Longer range than that we get warning of trends with the forecasters saying things could change. Farther out than that and it is still historical data that information for the weather, although with computers historical data can let us see better what will be.

Even I can predict the weather for our Florida home...warm and sunny most of the time unless a shower builds up in the afternoon.

[Growing Coastal]

Someone gave me an Old Farmers' Almanac at Christmas. Checking the forecasts I see that we were supposed to be having a colder than average winter this year. I do hope they are as wrong with their cool, wet, summer prediction as they were with the winter one for here. Until now we have had a mild one.

[jlhart76]

I live in Oklahoma, I don't put much stock in TODAY'S weather forecast.

[karstopography]

[mention]Growing Coastal[/mention] the Old Farmer’s Almanac actually jives with the Climate Prediction Site for your area that was shared in an earlier post. I do wonder from what these Almanacs derive their forecasts from? Is it the same science based site shared earlier or something like how fat the woolly worms are or both or something else?

[mention]jlhart76[/mention] naw, now you know it’s going to be windy because that’s how it is 24/7/365 here. Windy with dust, snow, rain, tornadoes, heat, and or frigid cold there and windy with mosquitoes, humidity, blistering heat, torrential downpours, and hurricanes here. But the wind is a certainty!! Haha!

Why do you think Texas and Oklahoma are 1 and 3 in wind generated power amongst the states?

[Growing Coastal]

How nice that two predictions agree. Now, if only they would agree with the reality of what we are actually getting.
We have yet to live through the long month of February though and it would change things up a bit for isolation if we at last had snow and a real taste of winter.